Raftery, Adrian

CSDE Research Affiliate

Adrian Raftery

Blumstein-Jordan Professor Emeritus, Statistics & Sociology
University of Washington
Tel: 206-543-4505 Box: 354320
website

CSDE Research Areas:

Demographic Measurements and Methods
Environments and Populations
Health of People and Populations
Migration and Settlement

In the News:

Raftery Publishes Article on Climate Change Prospects and Speaks to UW News (10/30/2025)
Raftery and Irons Publish Research on COVID Measures (09/25/2025)
Raftery Interviewed by Demographic Research on the Adoption of Bayesian Statistical Models for UN's World Population Prospects (08/08/2024)
Raftery to Give CSSS Lecture on Probabilistic Population Projection and the Social Cost of Carbon (10/4/23) (09/29/2023)
Yu, Ševčíková, Raftery, and Curran Publish Research on Probabilistic County-Level Population Projections (05/26/2023)
Raftery and Co-Authors Publish New Book on Model-Based Clustering! (05/08/2023)
New UN World Population Prospects Benefit from UW (Current and Past) Experts (08/05/2022)
Raftery Recognized by PAA with the Mindel C. Sheps Award! (04/11/2022)
Raftery Delivers Fields Institute’s Keyfitz Lecture in Mathematics and the Social Sciences (02/04/2022)
Raftery and Co-Author Extend Probabilistic Population Forecasting in Recent Publication (11/05/2021)
Irons and Raftery Publish New Findings On COVID-19 Prevalence in the United States (07/27/2021)
Liu and Raftery Publish New Findings about Education and Fertility Trends (03/30/2021)
Students and Trainees Checkout the Demography or Population-related Courses for Next Quarter (03/15/2021)
Spring Course Announcement: Statistical Demography and Data Science (CSSS/STAT/SOC 563) (02/01/2021)
UW Statistics Doctoral Student Daphne Liu and CSDE Affiliate Adrian Raftery Co-author Study on Girls’ Education, Family Planning and Fertility (09/15/2020)
Spring Course Announcement: Statistical Demography and Data Science (CSSS/STAT/SOC 563) (02/21/2020)
Statistical Demography and Data Science (CS&SS/STAT/SOC 563) (02/18/2020)
Spotlight on Neal Marquez, Fall 2018 Lightning Talks and Poster Session Winner (01/18/2019)
Adrian Raftery Estimates Steady Rates of Global Migration and High Rate of Return to Country of Birth (12/31/2018)
Statistical Demography Class Offered This Spring (11/09/2018)
Adrian Raftery Offers a Simpler Approach to Performing Probabilistic Population Projections (01/16/2018)
Training Spotlight: Jessica Godwin and Adrian Raftery Evaluate Projection Method for Life Expectancy in Nations with HIV/AIDS Epidemics (11/28/2017)
Training Spotlight: Connor Gilroy, Adrian Raftery, and Emilio Zagheni Lead Workshops at International Population Conference (11/14/2017)
Adrian Raftery's Research Indicates that Global Temperatures Will Increase Beyond 2 Degrees Celsius This Century (08/01/2017)
CSDE at PAA 2017 (04/18/2017)
Ireland Awards Adrian Raftery St. Patrick's Day Medal for Contributions to Statistics (03/27/2017)
Adrian Raftery Publishes Work on Probabilistic Population Projections (12/12/2016)
Population Research Discovery Seminar: How Does Big Data Contribute to Improved Demographic Knowledge? (11/11/2016)

Adrian E. Raftery is Blumstein-Jordan Professor Emeritus of Statistics and Sociology and a faculty affiliate of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences and the Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology at the University of Washington. He works on the development of new statistical methods for the social, environmental and health sciences. An elected member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, he was identified as the world's most cited researcher in mathematics for the decade 1995-2005 by Thomson-ISI. He has supervised 29 Ph.D. graduates, of whom 21 hold or have held tenure-track university faculty positions. Visit this link to view Adrian Raferty's sociology and demography publications.