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Emilio Zagheni Presents a Model for Estimating Subnational Mortality

Posted: 1/9/2018 (CSDE Research)

Affiliate Emilio Zagheni, Associate Professor of Sociology and CSDE Training Director, co-authored a recent article that estimates subnational mortality rates using a Bayesian hierarchical model. Published in the December issue of Demography, the article presents this approach as a means of overcoming difficulties in producing reliable estimates of subnational mortality due to stochastic variation in death counts among small populations. When tested, the model produced plausible estimates and levels of uncertainty for both real and simulated data, demonstrating its potential application for research efforts focused on subregional health. The full article is available below.

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