Raftery and Co-Author Extend Probabilistic Population Forecasting in Recent Publication
Posted: 11/5/2021 (CSDE in the News)
In early October, CSDE Affiliate Adrian Raftery and UW Colleague Hana Ševčíková published an article in the International Journal of Forecasting, available in full HERE. Their research sought to extend the UN probabilistic population forecasting model into the very-long-term by combining this statistical approach with expert review and elicitation. Their projections suggests that world population growth will not stabilize until the 22nd century.