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Swanson Publishes New Article on Small-Area Population Forecasting

Posted: 6/5/2023 (CSDE Research)

New research by CSDE External Affiliate David Swanson entitled, “Boosted Regression Trees for Small-Area Population Forecasting” has been published in Population Research and Policy Review. Swanson and co-authors point to some issues within Small-Area Populatin forecasting and the lack of current research utilizing machine learning techniques. Using 1990 and 2000 census data, the authors develop 10-year age/gender-structured 2010 population forecasts for 50,965 census tracts in the U.S. using a well-known machine learning technique: boosted regression trees.

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