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Join the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences (CSSS) Seminar Series for Chloe Krakauer on P-Values (1/25/2023)

Please join CSSS for their next speaker in the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences Seminar Series. On Wednesday, January 25 at 12:30 pm, Chloe Krakauer, Biostatistician at Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, will give a seminar titled, “Toss the bathwater, keep the baby: how p-values can still be useful.” This seminar will be offered as a Hybrid session. Below please find the abstract and information about joining in-person or on Zoom.

Despite wide distribution of the American Statistical Association’s (ASA’s) cautionary statement about misuse and abuse of p-values from null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) in publications and policy decisions in 2016, their (mis)use remains ubiquitous. The persisting need to modify inappropriate use of p-values is made evident by the special edition of The American Statistician (TAS) in 2019 led by the executive director of the ASA focusing on this topic. The edition highlights both existing and novel methods to combat egregious scientific conclusions using p-values, ranging from simple measures to accompany p-values to paradigm shifts in default scientific inference to embracing subjectivity—in place of claimed objectivity—as the solution. The question remains, why are these tools not used more, particularly by individuals already educated about them?

 

This talk will be constrained to circumstances requiring a binary decision, initial use of NHST, and reporting of p-values. It will be presented in three parts. First, select existing accompaniments to p-values to aid in their interpretation will be summarized, including a novel decision-theoretic method (joint work with Ken Rice, UW Biostatistics) along with recent examples of their implementation either in initial data analysis or critiques of reported results. Second, I’ll review why these changes are so difficult to implement, mostly summarizing the TAS 2019 special edition, adding some personal experience as a “boots on the ground” collaborative biostatistician. Finally, I’ll show how even if these tools are not directly used, lessons from these tools in the form of “rules of thumb” and altering inherent understanding of p-values may be applied immediately.

 

This seminar will be located at 409 Savery Hall

 

*New* Issue Published from the Journal On Migration And Human Security!

The Journal on Migration and Human Society has released its newest issue with research on democratizing data, under counting of undocumented residents in the American Community Survey, and Impact of Armed Conflicts on Forced Crises in Nigeria and Mali. Make sure to check out this new issue as soon as you get the chance!

Join UW International Security Colloquium (UWISC) on Their First Talk of 2023!

Join UWISC on Friday, January 27th at 3pm.They will be hosting Naima Green-Riley for a paper entitled “Winning Hearts Without Changing Minds: The Limits of Broadcast Diplomacy.” The study analyzes how the United States uses broadcasted public diplomacy messaging to persuade foreign audiences. The project takes as its focus the emerging competition between the United States and China, and it relies on a nationally-representative, face-to-face survey experiment fielded in Morocco. Naima Green-Riley’s work is both methodologically and substantively rich, and it should make for a fascinating presentation and discussion. Feel free to attend in person or register online for zoom here!

Biography of Presenter
Naima Green-Riley is an Instructor in the Department of Politics and at the School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton University and will be converted to the role of Assistant Professor in Fall 2023. Her research, which focuses on U.S. and Chinese foreign policy, has been featured in the Journal of Experimental Political Science and various other outlets, including the Monkey Cage Blog at the Washington Post, the Emerging Voices on the New Normal in Asia Series of the National Bureau of Asian Research, The Diplomat, and The Root. Her forthcoming book, The China Questions II (Harvard University Press), compares U.S. and Chinese models of foreign audience engagement in public diplomacy.

The talk will be from 3:00–4:30pm on Friday, January 27th in Gowen 1a. If you plan to attend remotely, please use the following Zoom link and password.

Assessing the Experiences of Migrants in Need of Protection in Latin America

This week’s CSDE Seminar will feature Dr. Abigail Weitzman, Department of Sociology, University of Texas. Abigail will be presenting her research “Assessing the Experiences of Migrants in Need of Protection in Latin America”. The global population of refugees and other international migrants in need of protection (MNP) has more than doubled in the last decade. Nevertheless, longitudinal and representative data among MNP remain rare, especially in the global South. In this talk, I describe new efforts to collect qualitative and quantitative data among a diverse sample of Latin American MNP in Costa Rica, including focus groups, in-depth interviews, a weekly panel survey, and respondent driven sampling. Drawing on four-years of fieldwork, I highlight the insights, feasibility, and challenges of understanding dynamic individual- and population-level changes in the push factors and social, economic, legal, and health circumstances of MNP originating from a multitude of countries.

Dr. Weitzman’s research explores interconnections between demographic and social psychological processes. In particular, she asks how expectations, desires, and uncertainty influence the nature of important events in people’s lives, cumulatively shaping demographic patterns in the aggregate; and, reciprocally, how shifting demographic circumstances influence desires, expectations, and behaviors in ways that determine individuals’ social and health trajectories. She holds a PhD in Sociology from New York University and completed an NIH postdoctoral fellowship at the University of Michigan. Prior to becoming an academic, she served in the Peace Corps twice and interned at the United Nations.

 

National Science Foundation Offers Funding Through Analytics for Equity Initiative

The Analytics for Equity Initiative builds on the Evidence-Based Policymaking Act and E.O.13985 by piloting a new way to support social, economic, and behavioral sciences research that leverages federal data assets (ensuring privacy is protected and data are secure) and scientific advances in researching equity-related topics for greater public benefit. You can find more information on this funding opportunity here!

Led by the National Science Foundation and in partnership with the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP), the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB), and other federal agencies, the Initiative links interested researchers directly with federal agencies seeking to answer research questions captured in their Learning Agendas in five equity-related research themes.

The goal of this effort is to fund researchers to produce rigorous empirical evidence and research in equity-related topics aligned to agency Learning Agendas, that federal agencies and other organizations can use to increase the impact of equity-focused evidence-based strategies.

National Science Foundation Offers Funding Through Analytics for Equity Initiative

The Analytics for Equity Initiative builds on the Evidence-Based Policymaking Act and E.O.13985 by piloting a new way to support social, economic, and behavioral sciences research that leverages federal data assets (ensuring privacy is protected and data are secure) and scientific advances in researching equity-related topics for greater public benefit. You can find more information on this funding opportunity here!

Led by the National Science Foundation and in partnership with the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP), the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB), and other federal agencies, the Initiative links interested researchers directly with federal agencies seeking to answer research questions captured in their Learning Agendas in five equity-related research themes.

The goal of this effort is to fund researchers to produce rigorous empirical evidence and research in equity-related topics aligned to agency Learning Agendas, that federal agencies and other organizations can use to increase the impact of equity-focused evidence-based strategies.

Would You Like a Guest Lecture on Gender Equality and Climate Change?

Hannah Evans, Senior Analyst at Population Connection, a national nonprofit organization dedicated to population education and advocacy, has reached out to offer guest lectures on gender equality and climate change. If you are interested contact Hannah Evans at hannah@popconnect.org.

Large Collaborations Yield Great Research for Turner, Freitag, and Berridge

CSDE Trainees Natalie R. Turner and Callie Frietag collaborate with CSDE Affiliate Clara Berridge to publish “The Role of Trust in Older Adult Service Provision at the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic” in the Journal of Gerontological Social Work. Using in-depth interviews with 45  senior leaders of social services and healthcare organizations serving older adults in Washington State, the authors elucidate the role of trust in service provision at the onset of the pandemic.