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Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology

Swanson Presents at the Nordic Demography Symposium

On June 12th, CSDE External Affiliate David Swanson (UC Riverside) presented  “A new approach to probabilistic population forecasting with an application to Estonia” at the Nordic Demographic Symposium. Based on work with Jeff Tayman, this presentation applies measures of uncertainty to existing population forecasts using Estonia as a case study. The measures of forecast uncertainty are relatively easy to calculate and meet several important criteria used by demographers who routinely generate population forecasts. This paper applies the uncertainty measures to a population forecast based on the Cohort-Component Method, which links the probabilistic world forecast uncertainty to demographic theory, an important consideration in developing accurate forecasts. Read the full abstract here.

Swanson extends his thanks to his colleagues at the Estonian Institute for Population Research who kindly provided comments and suggestions when he presented an earlier version of the paper to them the week preceding the Nordic Demographic Symposium.

CACHE Issues Call for Seed Grant Proposals (6/20/25)

The Center for Aging, Climate, and Health (CACHE) recently announced seed funding for projects integrating social and environmental data to examine the intersections of aging, climate, and health. CACHE anticipates making 2-3 awards of $20,000 and several smaller awards at $7,500. The deadline to apply is June 20, 2025. Learn more and apply here.

Questionnaire on the Use of the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) Data (6/30/25)

The Population Division and Statistics Division of the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) would like your help to assess the potential impact of termination of the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS). If you use, or have used, DHS data, please complete this brief survey. The survey collects information about the aspects of the DHS that you have used and examples of research using DHS data. Your response will help inform the direction and key elements of future demographic and health data collection and dissemination, supporting alignment with user needs and priorities. All responses will be treated confidentially and presented only in aggregate form.

*New* Swanson Presenting at FSCPE Research Committee Monthly Meeting (07/15/25)

Dr. David Swanson will be joining the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates’ (FSCPE) research committee monthly meeting to discuss his work on a new approach to probabilistic population forecasting on Tuesday, July 15th from 10:30AM – 11:30AM Pacific Time / 12:30 PM – 1:30 PM Central Time via Zoom. To provide more context for this presentation, you can reference Dr. Swanson’s work on this topic through his PowerPoint presentation and/or his research paper. To join this meeting via Zoom, click this link to join.