Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology

Adrian Raftery Publishes Work on Probabilistic Population Projections

Posted: 12/12/2016 (CSDE Research)

Adrian Raftery—CSDE Affiliate, UW professor of statistics and sociology, and director of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences—recently published research on probabilistic population projections with bayesPop, an R package. The program produces, among other things, a sample from the joint posterior predictive distribution of future age- and sex-specific population counts, fertility rates and mortality rates, as well as future numbers of births and deaths. Its methodology has been used across the globe, notably by the United Nations in crafting population projections. You can read more about Raftery’s work below.

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