Celebrate CSDE’s 75th & Counting Anniversary!

Organizers:

• Audrey Dorelién, University of Washington, Sociology 
• Amon Emeka, University of Washington, Sociology 
• Jill Fulmore, University of Washington, CSDE
• Ryan Gabriel, Brigham Young University, Sociology
• Jessica Godwin, University of Washington, CSDE

Title: Aging Populations and Subsequent Tree Cover Expansion, an Investigation in 139 Low-and-Middle-Income Countries

• Courtney Allen, University of Washington, Sociology

Title: Cancer Death Disparities and Uranium Mine Waste on Indian Reservations

• Aidan Andronicos, University of Washington, Sociology

Title: The Role of Migration in the Rural-Mortality Penalty

• David Coomes, University of Washington, Epidemiology

Title: Healthy Food Service Guidelines in Worksites and Institutions: A scoping review

• Jane Dai, University of Washington, Health Services

The Relationship Between Eviction, Substance Use, and Health Among People Experiencing Homelessness in King County, WA

• Ihsan Kahveci, University of Washington, Sociology

Title: Estimating Wildfire Smoke Impact on Fresno, California: Informed by Chronic Lower Respiratory-Related Mortality

• Sarah Kilpatrick, University of Washington, Data Science

Title: Does Job Protection Affect Paid Leave Use or Employment Following Leave? Evidence from Administrative Data

• Tom Lindman, University of Washington, Evans School of Public Policy & Governance

Title: American Estuaries: Characteristics, Climate Risk, and Governance

• Mark Nepf, University of Washington, Evans School of Public Policy & Governance

Title: Framing Migration: A Comparative Study of Newspaper Coverage in the Global North and South

• Aryaa Rajouria, University of Washington, Sociology

Title: Valid Inference With Predictions From Narratives

• Adam Visokay, University of Washington, Sociology

Title: Mortality Behind Bars: Cumulative Exposure to Incarceration in Texas and Illinois, 2015-2021

• Lauren Woyczynski, University of Washington, Sociology

Title: Probabilistic County-Level Population Projections, 2020-2050

• Crystal Yu, University of Washington, Sociology

Organizers:

• Sara Curran, University of Washington, CSDE 

Title: The Washington State Census Board and its Successors: OFM and CSDE

• David Swanson, University of California Riverside 

Title: Washington’s Population Past and Future(s): The Journey to Exploring Probabilistic Projection Methods for State Government Use

• Mike Mohrman, State Demographer & Rob Kemp, Senior Data Scientist from the Office of Financial Management 
• Abstract: Mike Mohrman and Rob Kemp from the WA State Office of Financial Management will briefly describe how the culture of excellence and innovation that we inherited from the WA State Census Board continues to influence our work and connect us to CSDE today. We will discuss how that shared history led us to the current partnership on the county level probabilistic population projections.

Title: King County’s Unsheltered Homeless Point-in-Time Count: From Canvasing to Sampling

• Cathea Carey, King County Regional Homelessness Authority; June Yang, University of Washington; Ihsan Kahveci, University of Washington

Title: Assessing the Accuracy (maybe Quality?) of Seattle’s 2020 Census Outcomes via Local Housing Data

• Diana Canzoneri, City of Seattle Demographer

Title: Applied Population Health Fellowship

• Rebeccah Maskin, King County Demographer

Title: WashPop: Creating a Population Database from Administrative Data

• Jennifer Romich, School of Social Work
• Abstract: Administrative microdata is increasingly an important source for demographic research and complement to data collected via surveys. Administrative data have several advantages relative to surveys, including the capacity to capture full- or near-full populations rather than samples. Full population data allows for greater representation of smaller ethnoracial populations or less-populous geographic areas. This presentation will report on the development of a new full-population microdata set, WashPop, a collaboration between CSDE and the UW’s West Coast Poverty Center. WashPop will enable better analysis on policies and programs impacting Washington residents by leveraging and merging data that state agencies already collect and making that integrated data available for research and policy analysis.

Organizers: 

• Amon Emeka, Skidmore College, Sociology
• Bussarawan “Puk” Teerawichitchainan, National University of Singapore, Sociology

Panelists:

• Cai Yong, University of North Carolina
• Jennifer Hook, University of Southern California
• Maria Rodriguez, University of Buffalo
• Moderator: Shelly Lundberg, University of California Santa Barbara & Former CSDE Director 

Title: Work-Family Policies, Mothers’ Employment, and Gender Inequality in OECD Countries

• Jennifer Hook, University of Southern California, Sociology
• Abstract: Some scholars hypothesize that although work–family policies help incorporate women into the labor market, they exacerbate occupational sex segregation, the gender earnings gap, and the motherhood penalty, especially for college-educated mothers. I examine how the two most widely studied work–family policies — paid parental leave and early childhood education and care (ECEC) — affect mothers’ employment, occupational sex segregation, and gender earnings gaps by parental status and educational attainment. I use repeated cross-sectional data from the CPS and EU Labour Force Survey 1999–2016 (n = 23 countries, 299 country-years, 2.5 million individuals) and the Luxembourg Income Study Database (LIS) 1999–2019 (n = 26 countries, 280 country-years, 2.9 million employees) combined with an original collection of country-year indicators. I will present a few big takeaways from this project, including why the US went from being a leader to a laggard in women’s labor force participation and how the effects of work-family policies on mothers’ and women’s labor market outcomes vary by women’s educational attainment.

Title: China’s One-Child Policy in Time and Space

• Cai Yong, University of North Carolina, Sociology
• Abstract: I will present a review of China’s one-child policy with an emphasis on the temporal and spatial dimensions and reflect on how my training at CSDE shaped my research.

Title: AI in Systems of Care: How Do We Decide the Right Thing to Do?

• Maria Rodriguez, University of Buffalo, Computer Science & Engineering
• Abstract: Dr. Maria Y. Rodriguez, MSW, PhD is currently Principal Research Scientist at the University at Buffalo’s Department of Computer Science and Engineering. In her work, Dr. Rodriguez explores if and how the values that define systems can come from the lived experience of the system involved. During this talk, Dr. Rodriguez will guide us through her work traversing the fields of computational social science, applied demography, and social work. Spanning over 10 years, Dr. Rodriguez’ talk will highlight how the values that undergird relationships within systems of care determine the ways in which we can make decisions about whom we care for and how we do so.

Organizers:

• Amy Bailey, University of Illinois – Chicago, Sociology
• Michelle O’Brien, The Gates Foundation, Research Scientist 

Panelists:

• Laina Mercer, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center
• Michelle O’Brien, The Gates Foundation
• Audrey Dorelién, University of Washington
• Jeanie Santaularia, University of Washington
• Steve Goodreau, University of Washington
• Moderator: Martina Morris, UW Professor Emeritus & Former CSDE Director

Organizers:

• Ryan Gabriel, Brigham Young University, Sociology
• Kim Korinek, University of Utah, Sociology

Panelists:

• Amy Spring, Georgia State University, Sociology
• Tim Thomas, University of California Berkeley
• Mark Vanlandingham, Tulane University
• Giovanna Merli, Duke University
• Moderator: Mark Ellis, University of Washington & Former CSDE Director

Title: Kinship and Mobility: Unraveling the Dynamics of Family-Driven Migration in the United States

• Amy Spring, Georgia State University, Sociology
• Abstract: Family is an enduring force in American life and factors prominently into some group’s migration and settlement patterns. This presentation examines key themes from my research using a novel multigenerational kinship database derived from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID). Since its inception in 1968, the PSID has tracked original sample families and their descendants, yielding a uniquely rich, built-in multigenerational design that only a handful of researchers have leveraged. My research with the PSID kin database explores the nuances of U.S. mobility and migration within the context of family networks. Four principal findings emerge: 1) Family connections serve as powerful motivators for both short- and long-distance moves. 2) Kin proximity simultaneously deters out-migration and attracts in-migration. Individuals are less likely to leave areas where relatives reside, yet when they do relocate, they disproportionately choose destinations with existing family. 3) Family-motivated moves concentrate at specific life stages and following particular events such as divorce, job loss, and health crises. There are notable gender differences in responsiveness to these triggers. 4) The geography of family networks varies systematically by race and income: higher-income and White households tend to reside at greater distances from relatives. Moreover, differential proximity to kin helps explain group disparities in mobility out of high-poverty and disaster-prone areas. Together, these findings demonstrate the multifaceted influence of family ties on residential mobility and suggest that housing-mobility interventions and place-based community development initiatives will be more effective if they explicitly incorporate kinship considerations.

Title: The Housing Precarity Risk Model: Displacement and Eviction Estimates in the U.S. Despite Missing Data

• Tim Thomas, Research Director – Urban Displacement Project, Institute of Governmental Studies, UC Berkeley; Director – Eviction Research Network
• Abstract: Prior measures of low-income residential displacement and gentrification have relied largely on aggregate census data that measure the loss of low-income households over time in conjunction with changes in housing markets, socio-economics, education, and employment. When comparing these past measures to more recent census data, many neighborhoods that were designated as at risk of displacement or gentrification did not gentrify or underestimate the degree of low-income household loss. The problem here lies in the need for individual level data, not just aggregate census estimates, that can capture more accurate net migration rates of these households vulnerable to neighborhood change. This presentation introduces the Housing Precarity Risk Model (HPRM) [link: https://urban-displacement.github.io/hprm2/maps/hprm_2022.html]—a Bayesian informed machine learning approach that is trained on national household level consumer migration data and multi-state eviction data net of hundreds of neighborhood and regional level predictors. The HPRM is then tested on all 2022 census tracts within the lower 48 states to provide a national predicted risk of displacement and eviction. The HPRM provides several opportunities: (1) it allows researchers, stakeholders, and policymakers to measure the breadth and severity of housing precarity, especially in areas where there is no eviction or displacement data; and (2) it challenges our assumptions of displacement by dissecting it into two categories of soft displacement (e.g., displacement by choice due to rising rents) and hard displacement (e.g., forced displacement by eviction). The HPRM helps inform policy and advances neighborhood research on the disparities and intersectionality of topics such as housing, health, and criminal justice contact.

Title: How CSDE Influenced my Academic Journey

• Mark J. VanLandingham, Tulane University, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine
• Abstract: In this short presentation, I will begin by describing how my postdoctoral fellowship from 1993-1996 at the Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology (CSDE) at the University of Washington propelled my career as a demographer and sociologist. I will offer some predictions about the future of demography and how I think CSDE can influence this trajectory. I will reflect on my post-CSDE career and will close with some brief remarks about some of my recent research that was influenced by my fellowship at CSDE.

Title: Innovations in Multi-Sited Approaches to Sampling International Migrants: A Feasibility and Evaluation Study for Ghanaian Immigrants in the US

• Giovanna Merli, Duke University
• Abstract: Multi-sited, longitudinal sampling designs of international migration that cross international boundaries to link migrants at origin and destination (or vice versa) and follow migrants over time have aided our understanding of migration processes. But they have also highlighted considerable challenges of establishing linked samples for achieving representation of origin and destination communities, accounting for the selection of who migrates through appropriate comparisons across groups, recruiting meaningful samples of sufficient sizes and following movers and stayers over time. Here we evaluate an innovative multi-sited, multi-method sampling design of migration from Ghana to the US, which aims to refine previous multi-sited approaches. Our design establishes origin-destination linked samples of households using conventional as well as innovative network-sampling designs that capitalize on peer referral to achieve coverage and representation of the Ghanaian immigrant population in the US and includes migrants linked by ties-to-origin as well as those without ties-to-origin but linked by a network of ties in the US. We assess the feasibility of obtaining cross-border referrals and evaluate the sampling strategy to achieve population representation through multiple tests grounded in data collected among four distinct samples of origin and destination households successively recruited in Ghana and the US.  This paper presents preliminary partial results for this investigation.

Organizers: 

• Katherine Curtis, University of Wisconsin – Madison, Center for Demography and Ecology
• Jamie Goodwin-White, University of California – Los Angeles, Geography

Panelists

• Patrick Greiner, University of Washington, Sociology
• Sameer Shah, University of Washington, School of Environmental and Forest Sciences
• Katherine Curtis, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Center for Demography & Ecology; Department of Community & Environmental Sociology
• Moderator: Ann Bostrom, University of Washington, Evans School of Public Policy & Governance

Title: Environment and Population: A Prospective View of CSDE’s Role in an Uncertain World

• Patrick Greiner, University of Washington
• Abstract: This talk considers the need for insights from the CSDE community in a world that is increasingly attuned to looming social and ecological uncertainty. The promise of the CSDE community’s scholarly contributions are explored.

Title: Environment and Population: An Early Career Perspective on CSDE’s Support for Climate-Society Research

• Sameer Shah, University of Washington
• Abstract: This presentation briefly highlights a selection of key ways in which CSDE has and continues to support early career faculty in advancing scholarship at the nexus of climate-society interactions, public health, and justice.

Title: Population and Environment at CSDE before “Environments and Populations”: Reflections from a Past Trainee

• Katherine Curtis, University of Wisconsin – Madison
• Abstract: This talk reviews the influence of CSDE’s training program in shaping one scholar’s career in population and environment during a period pre-dating the now established primary research area. CSDE’s exceptional faculty mentors and longstanding commitment to interdisciplinarity are discussed.