The International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (IUSSP) notes that today marks the “Day of 8 Billion”. On 15 November 2022, the world’s population is projected to reach 8 billion people, a milestone in human development. This unprecedented growth is due to the gradual increase in human lifespan owing to improvements in public health, nutrition, personal hygiene and medicine. It is also the result of high and persistent levels of fertility in some countries. While it took the global population 12 years to grow from 7 to 8 billion, it will take approximately 15 years—until 2037— for it to reach 9 billion, a sign that the overall growth rate of the global population is slowing. Visit the United Nations website for this event: https://www.un.org/dayof8billion A press briefing to mark The Day of 8 Billion People will be held on Tuesday, 15 November 2022 at 17:30 UTC (12:30 pm EST), featuring the following speakers:
- Maria-Francesca Spatolisano, Assistant Secretary-General for Policy Coordination and Inter-Agency Affairs, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs
- Ib Petersen, Deputy Executive Director for Management, United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)
- John Wilmoth, Director, Population Division, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs
On Thursday, November 17, from 12:00PM-2:00PM, CSDE presents the first of a year-long series of CSDE Workshops on Bayesian statistics. This installment, called “Introduction to Bayesian Statistics: Likelihoods, Priors & Posteriors” will focus on the necessary probability and statistical background necessary to write down Bayesian models and calculate posteriors under conjugacy. We will *not* be analyzing data with any statistical software during this workshop. The workshop will take place in Hans Rosling Center 101. Use the following link to read more and register for the workshop: https://csde.washington.edu/workshop/introduction-bayesian-likelihoods-priors-posteriors/
The Computational Demography Working Group will host Junhe Yang’s (Sociology) presentation “Political and Educational Dynamics in Religious Group’s Mask Noncompliance Under COVID-19” [For more details visit here]. This study investigates the mediation effect of conservative political ideology on the relationship between religiosity and the noncompliance of masks under COVID-19, and the moderated effect of education on the mediation relationship. Using nationally representative data from COVID-19 and Social Distancing Survey, a moderated mediation analysis is applied to examine the pathway from religiosity via political conservativeness to the noncompliance of masks, and the interaction effect between years of education and political ideology. A logistic regression model is used to investigate each path in the mediation analysis. Results suggest that controlling for socio-demographic background, religiosity positively drives mask noncompliance. Further, findings confirm that political orientation is not only an established predictor of the polarized public support of masks as found in existing studies, but is also a key mechanism by which religiosity positively predicts mask resistance. Finally, education is associated with stronger political polarization of public opinions on masks during the pandemic.
On December 8 & 9, 2022, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation will host the Data for Policy Conference. The deadline for registering for the conference is November 30,2022. The theme of the conference is “Ecosystems of innovation and virtual-physical interactions”, where the conference seeks to address how distinct geopolitical and virtual-physical ecosystems are emerging every day and important socio-economic decisions are increasingly outsourced to digital systems.
Monica Alexander and the U of Toronto team are hosting the next meeting of the Formal Demography Working Group on Tuesday, 29 November at 9am ET (Toronto time) [11am Belo Horizonte time, 3pm Vienna/Rostock/Denmark time]. Bernardo Queiroz will give a talk on “Estimating adult mortality in countries with defective data: some alternative approaches”
Zoom details:
Zoom link: https://utoronto.zoom.us/j/88513950799
Meeting ID: 885 1395 0799
Passcode: eulerlotka
Announcements:
– The Danish Centre for Population Research at the Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics (CPop) is opening one or more positions of associate professor in demography. Applications close 1 December. See here for more details.
– Demographic Research has a new special collections on ‘Innovations in measuring adult mortality in countries with deficient civil registration’. If you work in this area, please consider submitting a manuscript. More info can be found here.
– The Lab of Digital and Computational Demography at MPIDR is running a summer incubator on population and social data science. This is a great opportunity for students to work on a collaborative team project over summer! More details here.
Links:
– Here is our website.
– Meetings are recorded for those who are unable to join us. Previous recordings can be found here [youtube.com].
– If you are interested in presenting at a future meeting, fill out this form. [docs.google.com] Sorry to those in Australia/NZ/Asia-Pacific and the west coast of US — we know meeting timings have been hard to get to. If you’d like to present (or have suggestions of people to invite) in your time zone, please let us know!!!
Join the Health Systems and Population Health Seminar on November 16th for their discussion about the Dobbs v Jackson Women’s Health Organization Surpreme Court decision on abortion and its implications on policy-relevant health services research. For a flier of the event click here!
The event will be held on Zoom on Wednesday November 16th from 12:00-1:00 pm PST.
Join Zoom: https://washington.zoom.us/j/95455343243?pwd=UjNxcmZIMzViNEZDUzdkN2dISXdXdz09
Meeting ID: 954 5534 3243
Passcode: HSPOP
The Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences Seminar Series will be hosting Prince Allotey, University of Washington Professor of Statistics, who will give a seminar titled, “Modeling Spatially Correlated Survival Data and their Applications.” The seminar will occur on On Wednesday, November 16 at 12:30 pm, and will be offered as a Hybrid session. Below please find the abstract and information about joining in-person or on Zoom.
Abstract:
When survival times are spatially referenced, some evidence of clustering of high or low times might be apparent on a visual inspection of the data. The question naturally arises as to whether these observed spatial survival patterns can be explained by incorporating appropriate covariates into the model or whether to obtain reliable inferences for model parameters of interest, it is necessary to explicitly model the unexplained spatial variation. In this talk, we consider different random effects regression models for spatially correlated survival data. In these models, the large-scale variations are characterized by a linear function of explanatory variables and small-scale variations are characterized by spatial processes. We compare these different approaches in the context of a dataset on COVID-19 mortality data. The main objective is to explain the pattern of COVID-19 mortality using important covariates while accounting for possible (spatially correlated) differences in hazard among the districts.
This seminar will be located at 409 Savery Hall
To join by Zoom, please use the information below.
Join Zoom Meeting
https://washington.zoom.us/j/91889204671
The School of Nursing is hosting Dr. Shannon Zenk, Director for the National Institute of Nursing Research who will be leading a discussion on collaborative, innovative nursing research that integrates social and biological determinates of disease to promote health of all people. Those interested can join virtually here, or in person at the University of Washington’s Husky Union Building in room 250. There will be a reception to follow the presentation after an event you are sure to not want to miss!
CSDE Affiliates are invited to sign up to give a brief talk about how their research connects relates to climate change at UW EarthLab’s December 1st event ‘Sparking Climate Connections: UW Lightning Talks on Climate Change’ . Lightning talk video presentations will be accepted on a rolling basis until noon on Thursday, November 17. The registration portal is the go-to place to submit a recorded lightning talk, sign up to view the lightning talks and RSVP to the in-person evening networking reception at the Douglas Forum at the Foster School of Business.
The NIH and the Sexual & Gender Minority Research Office (SMRO) has just published an RFI that seeks input from researchers and community members about research opportunities related to the four domains highlighted below. This input will serve as a valuable element in the development of a workshop and subsequent report, and the community’s time and consideration are highly appreciated.