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Measuring and Modeling the Impact of Partisanship Differences in Health Behaviors on COVID-19 Disease Spread – Audrey Dorélien

When: Friday, Nov 1, 2024 (12:30-1:30PM)

Where: 360 Parrington Hall and on Zoom (register here)

We are looking forward to hosting CSDE Training Core PI and Research Affiliate Audrey Dorélien (Sociology, UW) on Friday, November 1st in Parrington Hall 360 and on Zoom. This seminar is co-sponsored by the Population Health Initiative

In this presentation, Audrey Dorélien will discuss the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions and protective health behaviors, such as the use of face masks and physical distancing, on COVID-19 dynamics is well-documented, but sub-group heterogeneities in the adoption of these behaviors remains understudied. In this paper, we describe partisan differences in the adoption of protective health behaviors, and model how these differences can impact the dynamics of COVID-19. Dr. Dorélien will be joined by her research collaborator and PhD student Chris Soria. They will leverage uniquely detailed survey data on partisanship, contact rates, mask usage, and vaccination rates to provide empirical evidence of partisan differences in these health behaviors. They will show that partisan differences in health behaviors are greater than racial and gender differences. We incorporate these observations into a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model framework, that explicitly incorporates partisanship, to identify the most significant mechanisms driving disease spread. They will compare a population without modeled group behavior differences to one that explicitly models differing health behaviors reflecting Republican and Democrat divides. Their findings emphasize the importance of considering partisanship in modeling frameworks, for guiding public health policy and the design of effective mitigation measures, and highlight the role of partisan identification in shaping the course of future pandemics..

 

Audrey Dorélien is an associate professor in the Sociology Department at the University of Washington. Previously she taught at the Humphrey School of Public Affairs at the University of Minnesota for 10 years. Dorélien’s research agenda strives to elucidate how human population dynamics and behavior intersect with environmental conditions to affect health. Her work describes demographic and health patterns and attempts to identify causal factors responsible for these patterns. The first strand of her research focuses on the effects of early life exposures (i.e., disease/nutrition/climate) on health both in the United States and in Sub-Saharan Africa. Second, she analyzes how human behavior and population dynamics affect the spread and severity of infectious diseases. Third, Professor Dorélien has conducted research on spatial demography/ urbanization with a focus on health and climate change vulnerability. Her research has appeared in Population Development Review, Demography, Population Health Metrics, Biodemography and Social Biology, Demographic Research, and PLoS ONE.

Chris Soria is a PhD student in Demography at the University of California, Berkeley, where he previously earned a BA in Sociology. His research focuses on how social networks affect health and mortality, particularly in relation to cognitive health and dementia among aging populations. Soria uses causal inference methods to study the influence of personal social networks on cognitive aging and health disparities. Additionally, his work examines mortality and disease inequalities among different groups, including political partisans, socially isolated individuals, and migrants. One of his goals is to understand how diversity within social networks can uniquely and positively impact health outcomes.

*New* IPUMS Announces Data Updates for American Time Use Survey and Current Population Survey

The Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS) recently released the 2024 Annual Social and Economic Supplement (ASEC) data via IPUMS CPS and the 2023 American Time Use Survey’s Eating and Health Module via IPUMS ATUS. IPUMS CPS now includes the 2024 ASEC data as well as August and September BMS samples and telework variables. The 2023 ATUS Eating and Health module has also been released, which provides insight into decisions on eating patterns, grocery shopping, and meal preparation, along with the economic and health status of individuals and households. Learn more here.

Colburn’s Research Featured in Podcast and in Recent HUD Roundtable

Housing affordability and homelessness continue to be top priorities for policymakers at multiple levels of government. Findings from a recent book co-authored by CSDE Affiliate Gregg Colburn (Real Estate) that addresses these pressing issues were featured in Episode 2 of the HomeLAnd podcast. Dr. Colburn was also recently invited to participate in a Housing Policy Roundtable at the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) to share his work. Learn more about the book here.

Apply for CSDE Winter 2024 Lightning Talks and Poster Session (due 11/1/24)

CSDE is excited to welcome you to the Autumn 2024 quarter! I’m Desiree Salais, a CSDE Trainee and Sociology PhD student. This quarter, I’m also the organizer of CSDE’s Winter 2024 Lightning Talks and Poster Session. Applications are currently open for graduate students to present their research and receive feedback at this event, and we would love to receive your submission! This is an excellent, low-stakes opportunity to practice your presentation skills, grow your network, and prepare for upcoming conferences.

What is the purpose of the session?

This session is a unique opportunity to make new connections with faculty and students working in your area, and to improve your presentation and poster-making skills in advance of larger conferences. Many professional organizations and their associated conferences include space on their programs for posters or lightning talks (sometimes known as flash talks). This session is a great opportunity for:

  • Preparing a poster presentation for an end-of-the-quarter requirement for a class;
  • Preparing to present work at a conference;
  • Receiving feedback on a new research idea.

Faculty attending the poster sessions find it to be one of the most rewarding experiences because it gives them an opportunity to meet students and talk about research. If you are selected, CSDE will work with CSSCR to get your poster printed for you (no fees, no hassle – you just have to send your poster and slides to me by the date below).

What will the session look like?

As of this moment, the lightning talks are scheduled to take place in person (i.e. there will be no hybrid/Zoom option this quarter). The session will be split into two sections: the Lightning Talks and the Poster Session.

Each participant will prepare 2 PowerPoint slides and one poster PDF to submit should they be selected. The 2 PowerPoint slides will be high-level summaries for the lightning talk portion, and the poster PDF will be a separate file so we can have it printed for you. Two previous winning posters are attached to this email for reference.

Each presenter will have 2-3 minutes for their lighting talk presentation, followed by each presenter being available at their poster while attendees circulate and engage with the posters’ content. There will also be refreshments available to fuel conversation!

Will there be judges?

Yes, there will be a faculty panel that will give all participants feedback on their slides and presentation and determine a winner. CSDE will recognize the best poster with an award and prize. Posters will be assessed based on the following criteria:

  • Relevance to demographic research or population health;
  • Innovative aspects of the research project;
  • Quality and appropriateness of research design and methodology;
  • Effectiveness in communicating key aspects of the project;
  • Overall design and quality of visuals, images and/or tables.

Is my research a fit for the CSDE Trainee lightning talks?

CSDE seeks to build bridges across disciplines and aims to highlight a broad array of research topics. If your research focuses on demographic measures and methods, population growth, population health, population and environment, mobility, migration, fertility, mortality, family composition, life course, neighborhood change, or other related topics, you should consider participating! Learn more about CSDE HERE.

How do I apply to participate?

To apply, you only need to submit a brief abstract and information about yourself and your collaborators on the project. Submit your application HERE. We will select up to 7 participants.

Dates and deadlines:

COB Friday, November 1st: Deadline to Submit an Abstract

By COB Friday, November 15th: Presenters Announced/Notified

COB Monday, December 2nd: deadline to email presentation slides to Desiree Salais (salaisd@uw.edu)

Friday, December 6th: CSDE Lightning Talks and Poster Session from 12:30-1:30pm, Allen Library Research Commons Green Room A.

TL;DR: Calling all graduate students to submit abstracts for the Autumn 2024 CSDE Lightning Talks and Poster Session! Submit a brief abstract and information about yourself and your collaborators here by COB Friday, November 1st.

Williams and Flaxman Featured in Article on the Long-Lasting Effects of War

CSDE Affiliates Nathalie Williams (Sociology) and Abraham Flaxman (Global Health) were both featured in a recent article on Salon.com that details the difficulties of measuring the enduring impacts of armed conflict. The news also cites a publication from Williams and colleagues entitled “The long-lasting effect of armed conflicts deaths on the living: Quantifying family bereavement” in Science advances. Read the full journal article here.