Dr. Brad Wagenaar is an assistant professor in the Department of Global Health at the University of Washington, and a Technical Advisor to Health Alliance International, a Center in the Department of Global Health. His research focuses on using innovative implementation science methods to answer questions around improving public-sector health systems and health policies globally, with an emphasis on improving the prevention and treatment of mental illness in low-resource settings in the US and globally. Dr. Wagenaar recently received a pilot grant from the UW Global Mental Health Program to develop a digital pyschological intervention addressing refugee and immigrant youth mental health in Seattle in the time of COVID-19. Dr. Wagenaar also recently published in BMC Psychiatry, Global Mental Health, Implementation Science, Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes and Frontiers in Public Health on a variety of topics.
Spotlight on CSDE Affiliate, Dan Goldhaber
Dr. Dan Goldhaber is the Director of the Center for Analysis of Longitudinal Data in Education Research (CALDER, caldercenter.org) at the American Institutes for Research and the Director of the Center for Education Data & Research (CEDR, cedr.us) at the University of Washington. Dr. Goldhaber’s work focuses on issues of educational productivity and reform at the K-12 level, including the broad array of human capital policies that influence the composition, distribution, and quality of teachers in the workforce, and connections between students’ K-12 experiences and post secondary outcomes. He has also published in American Economic Review, Journal of Human Resources, Journal of Policy and Management, Economics of Education Review, Education Finance and Policy, and Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis.
NASEM Workshop on Family Planning, Women’s Empowerment, and Population and Societal Impacts
UW Statistics Doctoral Student Daphne Liu and CSDE Affiliate Adrian Raftery Co-author Study on Girls’ Education, Family Planning and Fertility
UW Statistics Doctoral Student Daphne Liu and CSDE Affiliate Adrian Raftery recently published an article in Population and Development Review examining the impact of education and family planning on fertility decline. Employing a Granger-causality based regression approach, they assess three questions. Is increasing contraceptive use or reducing unmet need more effective in family planning? Is it the number of years women have attended school or current enrollments of children that influence fertility declines? And, which of these factors is most important in explaining fertility decline? Using a combination of the UN’s World Population Prospects data (WPP), the Wittgenstein harmonized education data, the World Bank’s education data, and the UN’s Estimates and Projections of Family Planning indicators for 201 countries from 1970-2015, Liu and Raftery’s study finds that women’s attainment of lower secondary education is one key to accelerating fertility decline, but contraceptive prevalence for modern methods has the strongest accelerating effect. Children’s enrollment levels have no impact on fertility declines.To read the article click here.
Affiliate Zack Almquist Co-authors Study on COVID-19 Timing and Severity
CSDE Affiliate Zack Almquist, along with coauthors, recently published an article in PNAS examining the impact of an uneven population distribution on the spread of the COVID-19 disease spread. Employing a diffusion model based on interpersonal contact networks, they assess the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion models based on known spatial features of interpersonal networks. They find that disease diffusion occurs via a long-tailed but monotone decline in the probability of interaction with distance. They conclude that spatial heterogeneity may produce dramatic differences in social exposures to those with the illness and may stress health care delivery systems in ways that are not well captured by standard infectious disease models. To read the article click here.
PHI Applied Research Fellows Team Releases “Exploring Our Future – King County Forecasts to 2045”
The 2020 Population Health Initiative’s Applied Research Fellows team recently released a technical report and visualization tool from this year’s summer fellowship sponsored by UW’s Population Health Initiative and CSDE. The summer program sought to produce small area population forecasts at the Census tract and King County’s Health Reporting Area (HRA) levels by sex, race, ethnicity and 5 year age groups for King County Seattle Public Health and King County’s Demographer, Rebecca Maskin. The team used a novel version of the Hamilton-Perry (HP) method with a modified, multistage smoothing process. The team included Geography Undergraduate Steven Bao, Public Health Masters Student Eileen Kazura, Social Work Doctoral Student Jessica Lapham, Global Health Undergraduate Student Priya Sarma, and Sociology Doctoral Student Crystal Yu. The team was coordinated and supported by CSDE Scientist Christine Leibbrand, CSDE Trainee Neal Marquez, and CSDE Director Sara Curran.
Register for NASEM Workshop on Family Planning, Women’s Empowerment, and Population and Societal Impacts
This two-day workshop will bring together experts and stakeholders to discuss conceptual, methodological, and policy issues regarding the relationship between family planning, women’s empowerment, and population and societal impacts. Fertility rates have fallen substantially in low- and middle-income countries, and efforts to limit fertility, primarily through the implementation of family planning programs, have become increasingly widespread. Although there is a substantial scholarly literature on the determinants of contraceptive use or other measures to limit fertility and on the resulting differentials in fertility, relatively little is known about the role played by women’s empowerment and women’s agency, as both determinants and consequences of fertility decline. In addition, there continues to be little consensus about the link between fertility decline and broader societal impacts, including economic development. To learn more, please visit the project website. For questions please contact egrimes@nas.edu.
PAA 2021 DEADLINES: Don’t Forget to Submit An Extended Abstract and Consider Applying to be a Chair or Discussant!
The deadline for submissions for the Population Association of America’s Annual Conference (May 5-8 in St. Louis, MO) is rapidly approaching on September 25! Online submissions will be made through the MiraSmart software submission system. Please use this link www.populationassociation.org/paa2021 (Authors are asked to submit both: a) a short abstract (150 words); and b) either an extended abstract (2-4 pages, including tables) or a completed paper. You may modify your submissions at any time until September 25, 2020. You can find the program here.
Also, if you’re interested in being a chair or discussant for #PAA2021? Fill out this form by Sept. 25. This volunteer list will be given to session organizers who will contact the appropriate chair or discussant for their sessions as necessary.
IAPHS Conference is September 30-October 2 With an Exciting Line-up of Population Health Science Presentations
The 2020 IAPHS Conference will focus on “Policies, Places, and Profits: Manufacturers of Illness and Health.” The theme recognizes the influential work of John B. McKinlay, who coined the phrase “manufacturers of illness” to emphasize the key role of upstream factors, particularly political-economic systems, in shaping population health. The conference is virtual this year and registration can be found here. IAPHS recognizes that resources may be tight and are offering complimentary three-month membership to IAPHS with the conference registration
CSDE Director Sara Curran Will Join UW Graduate Public Lecture Series on September 24 for COVID 19: Stand Up and Be Counted
We have a great deal riding on both the election and the Census. Now, more than ever, it is imperative that we ensure every vote and every person is counted. In this episode of the graduate lecture series, Hanson Hosein will talk to some experts who can help understand how COVID-19 plays a role in ensuring every voice and every person is heard and counted. Guests include Lisa Marshall Manheim from the UW Law School, Sara Curran from the Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology, and Michele Storms from the ACLU. Also, please note that two weeks later, the lecture program will feature CSDE Affiliate Ali Mokdad discussing population health challenges and UW’s efforts to meet those challenges.