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Sutton Shows Social Influencers Can Reduce Infection Burden and Modify Epidemic Lag in Group-Structured Populations

In a new article in Royal Society Open Science, CSDE External Affiliate Aja Sutton (Population Research Center at Portland State University) with co-authors Adam Z. Reynolds (University of New Mexico), Matthew A. Turner (Stanford University), and James Holland Jones (Stanford University) examine how (digital) social influencers can modify epidemics by affecting social learning of health-protective behaviors in group-structured populations. Using agent-based models that incorporate both small protective and anti-protective nudges from social influencers into an epidemic scenario, they test how—under varying conditions of group structure modified by homophily and out-group aversion—competing influence messages affect health-protective behavioral diffusion between two behaviorally naive groups, and by extension infection transmission dynamics and outcomes. In heterogeneous populations, social influencers were protective of the whole population by increasing behavioral diffusion—independent of homophily—and flattening the epidemic curve, even in the equal presence of anti-protective messaging. Stronger group structure—especially, homophily—produced behavioral segregation and modified infection growth rates by accelerating within-group behavioral diffusion, leading to a lag between groups’ epidemic peak intensity and total infection burden. This work suggests contexts through which public health messaging is shared—such as social media sites, which exhibit a high degree of homophily—can produce substantial differences in disease transmission dynamics and epidemic outcomes.

Swanson Analyzes Racial Profiling in Washington State Patrol Traffic Stops

CSDE External Affiliate David Swanson (Distinguished Professor Emeritus, UC Riverside) authored a piece in NW Citizen analyzing racial disparities in Washington State Patrol (WSP) traffic stops from 2022–2024, using odds ratios applied to WSP Traffic Stop Demographic Report data. Black drivers faced roughly twice the odds of being stopped compared to White drivers in total traffic contacts across all three years, with considerably higher odds for criminal felony contacts and low-discretion searches. The pattern was consistent regardless of whether WSP or Office of Financial Management population data were used. Swanson argues the findings support legislative action to discourage pretext traffic stops as a means of reducing racial profiling.

Congratulations and Enjoy the Summer!

On Friday, June 5th, CSDE celebrated its many graduate students for their accomplishments. We enjoyed snacks, sharing updates, and celebrating! If you’d like to see all those updates, view the slide presentation.

Thank you to all who attended and presented at CSDE’s spring series. CSDE will be pausing its seminar series until Autumn 2025. Stay tuned for upcoming events.  Thank you to our seminar series team – Professor Rawan Arar, Maddie Farris, Jessica Godwin, Jill Fulmore, and Rebecca Toole! Thank you to the Evans School for hosting us in Parrington Hall and supporting Becca.

In the meantime, keep sending us your news. CSDE E-news will be shifting to a biweekly schedule over the summer.