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Bayesian Propagation of Record Linkage Uncertainty into Population Size Estimation with Application to Human Rights Violations

Mauricio Sadinle, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, UW

Multiple-systems or capture–recapture estimation are common techniques for population size estimation, particularly in the quantitative study of human rights violations. These methods rely on multiple samples from the population, along with the information of which individuals appear in which samples. The goal of record linkage techniques is to identify unique individuals across samples based on the information collected on them. Linkage decisions are subject to uncertainty when such information contains errors and missingness, and when different individuals have very similar characteristics. Uncertainty in the linkage should be propagated into the stage of population size estimation. We propose an approach called linkage-averaging to propagate linkage uncertainty, as quantified by some Bayesian record linkage methodologies, into a subsequent stage of population size estimation. Linkage-averaging is a two-stage approach in which the results from the record linkage stage are fed into the population size estimation stage. We show that under some conditions the results of this approach correspond to those of a proper Bayesian joint model for both record linkage and population size estimation. The two-stage nature of linkage-averaging allows us to combine different record linkage models with different capture–recapture models, which facilitates model exploration. We present a case study from the Salvadoran civil war, where we are interested in estimating the total number of civilian killings using lists of witnesses’ reports collected by different organizations. These lists contain duplicates, typographical and spelling errors, missingness, and other inaccuracies that lead to uncertainty in the linkage. We show how linkage-averaging can be used for transferring the uncertainty in the linkage of these lists into different models for population size estimation.

NSF Solicitations: Understanding the Rules of Life (Epigenetics and Building a Synthetic Cell)

The National Science Foundation  recently announced two new solicitations: Understanding the Rules of Life: Epigenetics (NSF 18-600), and Understanding the Rules of Life: Building a Synthetic Cell (NSF 18-599). These NSF-wide opportunities are part of Understanding the Rules of Life, one of NSF’s 10  “Big Ideas” for future investment.

Understanding the Rules of Life: Epigenetics (NSF 18-600) invites proposals which investigate heritable biological or chemical mechanisms that produce a phenotypic effect without alteration of the DNA sequence.  Projects must integrate education perspectives and research approaches from more than one research discipline (e.g., biology, chemistry, computer science, engineering, geology, mathematics, physics, social and behavioral sciences) to understand epigenetic mechanisms associated with environmental change, the resultant phenotypic characteristics of organisms, and the resultant robustness and adaptability of organisms and populations. Studies that cross multiple levels of organizational complexity (molecular, cellular, physiological, organismal, population) and temporal (including evolutionary) scales, and taxa within the tree of life – both unicellular and multicellular organisms,including humans — are particularly encouraged.

Full proposals are due February 1, 2019 and can be submitted in one of two submission tracks:

(1) award duration of up to 3 years and a total budget of $500,000 or

(2) award duration of up to 5 years and a total budget of $3,000,000.

The specifics of the program priorities and areas of emphasis, as well as additional limitations and guidelines, can be found in the full solicitation.

UW Bridge Funding Program

The Bridge Funding program provides bridge funding to support faculty to span a temporary funding gap in critical research programs. Bridge Funding awards are typically used to support on-going research programs that have lost funding, although these funds may also be used to support new research directions, at the discretion of the recipient.

Maximum of $50,000 may be applied for through the Provost; all funding requests must be matched 1:1 by the applicant’s college/school.

Please submit proposals directly to your Divisional Dean by Tuesday, October 30, 5:00 PM. deadline for Bridge Funding proposals is Thursday, November 1.

Internship, Population Division

Intern position — Population Affairs – United Nations – Department of Economic and Social Affairs (New York)

The Population Division of the United Nations in New York is looking to hire some interns in coming weeks/months to work on population and mortality issues in low- and middle-income countries.

To apply, see posting below for details:

The Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA)/Population Division/Policy Section internship is for two months with a possibility of extension to a maximum of six months, depending on the needs of the Division. The internship is unpaid and full-time. Interns work five days per week (35 hours) under the supervision of a staff member in the Department or Office to which they are assigned.

The Population Estimation and Projection Section (PEPS) analyzes past and future national demographic levels and trends for all countries of the world since 1950 and until 2100, and is responsible for the preparation of the 2019 Revision of the World Population Prospects, and pursues methodological research on substantive issues related to the work of the Division.

Interns will have opportunities to broaden their experience and knowledge about international population issues; exposure to the work of the Population Division and related work in other UN agencies; broaden the understanding of current demographic issues globally; and introduced to the functioning of United Nations bodies. Interns are integrated in the PEPS team, they participate and contribute to staff meetings and discussions, research issues, draft papers and reports, develop and maintain information databases, and provide support to other PEPS activities. Interns work under the supervision of PEPS’ staff. In addition, interns have an opportunity to attend lectures, and other events related to social and economic development, and other UN-related issues held in New York.

Responsibilities
Under the general guidance of the section Chief, Population Estimates and Projections Section, Population Division, the intern will be responsible to provide support on the following:

  1. Assist with data compilation, analysis and desk research on demographic data from developing and developed countries both from aggregated summary tabulations and microdata upon data availability;
  2. Assist in evaluating mortality age patterns computed from data collected in censuses and surveys;
  3. Assist in updating and assessing demographic data from a range of data sources (registration, census, survey);
  4. Contribute to populate an internal database to disseminate summary empirical demographic data for further public use and research;
  5. Identify gaps in existing demographic data on population and vital statistics.

The specific research topics will be determined after discussions between the intern and the responsible officer, and should be mutually beneficial for both the intern and the UN.

Upon completion of this internship, the intern will prepare a brief report on the experience gained.

The intern may also be asked to assist in the day-today work of the Division as required. The intern is expected to familiarize him/herself, to a limited extent, with administrative work of the Division and other tasks that are typical of the UN organizations.

For more information and to apply: https://careers.un.org/lbw/jobdetail.aspx?id=104872

Further information about the internship programme is also available at https://careers.un.org/lbw/home.aspx?viewtype=ip

A Perspective on Publishing Your Research in Academic Journals (ITHS Faculty Career Development Series, 10/31/18)

Institute of Translational Health Sciences

The Faculty Career Development Series consists of monthly lectures that are designed to provide early stage investigators with tools, a forum for discussion, and learning opportunities to help advance their careers.

In this presentation, Dr. John Amory will discuss the process of manuscript preparation.  From the perspective of an author, reviewer, and editor, he will make suggestions about improving the quality of your manuscript and the likelihood of it being accepted for publication in the scientific literature. Lastly, he will review some authorship dilemmas as cases for discussion by the group.

BY THE END OF THIS EVENT, LEARNERS WILL BE ABLE TO:

  1. Describe how to write your article to maximize its chances of being accepted
  2. Identify techniques to respond to negative reviews
  3. Discuss some approaches to handling a manuscript that has been repeatedly rejected

Registration is limited to early stage investigators. Please sign up through the link below.

Tenure-Track Professor/Associate Professor, Geography

Applications are invited for appointment as Tenure-Track Professor/Associate Professor in Climate Change in the Department of Geography, to commence on January 1, 2019 or as soon as possible thereafter, on a three-year fixed-term basis, with the possibility of renewal and with consideration for tenure before the expiry of a second three-year fixed-term contract.

The Department of Geography, established in 1954, is the first university-level geography department in Hong Kong. The QS World University Ranking rated the Department in 2017 the 18th among the world’s top 200 universities in the subject of geography and area studies. The Department offers comprehensive undergraduate, taught-masters, M.Phil. and Ph.D. programmes in human and physical geography with an interdisciplinary orientation.  Its team of 15 full-time teaching staff, 1 post-doctoral fellow and about 30 research students are actively engaged in cutting-edge research. The Department’s scholarly activities are supported by a map library and four modern specialized laboratories. Information about the Department can be obtained at http://geog.hku.hk.

Applicants must have a Ph.D. degree in the field of climate change, with a secondary specialization in one or more of the following sub-fields: big data, environmental sustainability and resilience, geomorphology, and public health. They should have extensive teaching experience, and a strong track record in reputable research grants and publications.  They should also possess strong academic credentials, outstanding academic leadership capabilities, extensive experience in conducting externally funded research projects, and a distinguished record of scholarship including editorship in internationally renowned journals.  The appointee is expected to teach at the undergraduate and postgraduate levels, supervise research students, conduct research in the related fields, assist in administration and will need to serve as mentor to junior professoriate staff. Applicants who have responded to the previous advertisement (Ref.: 201800290) need not re-apply.

A highly competitive salary commensurate with the appointee’s qualifications and experience will be offered, in addition to annual leave and medical benefits.  The appointment will attract a contract-end gratuity and University contribution to a retirement benefits scheme, totalling up to 15% of basic salary. Housing benefits will be provided as applicable.

Applicants should send a completed application form together with an up-to-date C.V. containing complete records of grants, publications and teaching experience; a research plan for the next three years; a statement on teaching philosophy; and outlines of three proposed undergraduate courses to the Department at geogjobs@hku.hk.  They should also arrange for submission, to the same e-mail address as stated above, three reference letters preferably from senior academics, at least one of whom should be asked to comment on the applicant’s ability in teaching and research. Application forms (341/1111) can be downloaded at http://www.hr.hku.hk/apptunit/form-ext.doc.  Further particulars can be obtained at http://jobs.hku.hk/.  Closes December 5, 2018.

Assistant/Associate Professor, Sociology/Anthropology

Position Summary

The Department of Social Sciences in the School of Arts and Sciences at the Lebanese American University invites applicants for a tenure-track faculty position at the rank of Assistant/Associate Professor in Sociology/Anthropology. The department is seeking a highly qualified and motivated full-time faculty member who is committed to innovative teaching, research, academic advising and institutional and community service.

Responsibilities

  • Teach undergraduate and graduate courses in a Minor Program in Sociology and an MA Program in Migration Studies, and in research methodology with emphasis on quantitative or qualitative methods.
  • Advise and mentor students
  • Supervise MA students in Migration Studies
  • Engage in service to the department, the university and the profession
  • Contribute to the development of the Sociology program and the MA Program in Migration Studies
  • Additional duties may be set by the department in light of departmental needs and priorities.

Qualifications
Minimum Qualifications:

  • A PhD in Sociology/Anthropology from a well-recognized University, preferably with a focus on Migration Studies.
  • Background in quantitative and/or qualitative research methods
  • Evidence of a research record, including research in the field of Migration Studies.
  • Evidence of an effective teaching experience in the field of Migration Studies

Preferred Qualifications

  • Ability to secure external funding

The Department:
The department offers four Bachelor of Arts (B.A.) programs in political science, political science/international affairs, psychology, and social work; two Master of Arts (M.A.) programs in International Affairs and Migration studies; and five minors in conflict analysis and resolution, legal studies, political science/international affairs, psychology, and sociology. The Department of Social Sciences consists of 15 full-time faculty members and a number of part-time faculty members. The Department of is dedicated to excellence in teaching and research, and is committed to student-centeredness and to serving the community.

The University:
The Lebanese American University is an Equal Opportunity Employer operating in Lebanon under a charter from the Regents of the State University of New York. Information about the University can be found at http://www.lau.edu.lb.

Application requirements:
Prospective candidates should apply electronically by sending a letter of interest including a statement of teaching, research interests, as well as professional and creative projects, an updated CV, and unofficial transcripts by email to: apaa@lau.edu.lb. The CV should include the names, e-mails and phone numbers of three references. The university reserves the right to contact additional references with notice given to the candidates at an appropriate time in the process. Candidates must refer to position no. AS-18-30,  in the subject line of the email.

Assistant Professor, Labor/Immigration Economics

The Department of Economics is housed in the College of Social Sciences and Interdisciplinary Studies. The Department has 14 full-time faculty and a pool of part-time faculty members who serve more than 600 undergraduate majors. Students in our major and who take our service courses come from diverse ethnic and socioeconomic backgrounds.

Essential Duties
Teach lower-division, upper-division and graduate courses.
Provide undergraduate advising to Economics Majors
Supervise Master’s level theses students
Provide service to the Department, College, University and Community.

Appointment Specifics
Interviews will be conducted at the Allied Social Science Association meetings or at an alternative location.

Required Qualifications
Ph.D. in Economics or a closely related field. ( ABD applicants will be considered. If ABD , all requirements for the doctorate degree must be completed by January 2020).
Ability to teach both core and elective classes, including principles of macroeconomics and microeconomics; intermediate macroeconomics and microeconomics; quantitative methods; and upper division and graduate courses appropriate to the candidate’s field of specialization.
Ability to work with a diverse student population.
Demonstrated teaching effectiveness.
Candidate has completed one or more research papers in the field.
Recommendation letters indicate the candidate has ability to conduct scholarship for publication in peer-reviewed journals.

Preferred Qualifications
Completion of PhD by August 2019.
Specialization in labor economics with an emphasis on immigration.
Ability to teach core and elective courses in our MA Program.
Interest and experience using innovations in information technology for the teaching and learning process.
Collegial commitment to the interests of an academic department.
Ability to contribute to the scholarly environment of the Department.
Interest in teaching quantitative methods.

Assistant Professor, Sociology

The Ohio State University at Newark announces a tenure-track position in sociology at the rank of assistant professor. Sociology faculty at Ohio State Newark teach in a multi-disciplinary small-college environment and are members of Ohio State’s Department of Sociology. The position is partially funded by Ohio State’s Global Arts and Humanities Discovery Theme, a significant faculty hiring investment in key thematic areas in which the university can build on its culture of academic collaboration to make a global impact. This position maps onto the Im/mobility Focus Area. Initiatives in Im/Mobility engage the multifaceted aspects of migration and movement that people experience from transnational and local movements to the spatial and social isolation of communities and individuals stemming from social, cultural, political, environmental, and economic factors. Initiatives also address past and present experiences of forced removal, (re)settlement and displacement of Indigenous peoples.

Qualifications:

The successful candidate must have a Ph.D. in sociology or a related field. We seek candidates who study ethnicity, race, indigenous populations, and/or migration, particularly from Africa and/or southeast Asia to the U.S. The successful candidate must be committed to working in collaborative multidisciplinary research groups, pursuing an externally funded research program, and teaching undergraduate students.

Salary:

Negotiable – Commensurate with credentials and experience (comprehensive benefits package included)

Application Procedures:

To assure consideration, submit an online application athttp://www.jobsatosu.com/postings/89966, and attach a curriculum vitae and a cover letter.  Evaluation of materials will begin in November,2018, and continue until the position is filled.  Ohio State Newark is an Equal Opportunity/Affirmative Action Employer and is committed to fostering a culturally and intellectually diverse environment, encouraging all members of our learning community to reach their full potential.  We are responsible to dual-career families and strongly promote work-life balance to support our community members through a suite of institutionalized policies.  All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, national origin, disability status, or protected veteran status.

Assistant Professor, Sociology

The Department of Sociology at Drexel University invites applications for a tenure-track Assistant Professor with a specialty in environmental sociology. Successful candidates will develop and teach undergraduate courses in environmental sociology as well as core courses in the major.

This position continues the investment in the Sociology Department at Drexel University and the expansion of its research foci in Urban, Environmental, and Medical Sociology. The Department successfully recruited a new Department Head in 2015, two urban sociologists in 2016, and a medical sociologist in 2017.

Qualifications
Required qualifications include a Ph.D. or foreign equivalent in Sociology (ABD accepted with degree completion expected before starting the position;) expertise in environmental sociology as demonstrated by publications, presentations, or courses taught; and evidence of excellence in scholarship and teaching, such as funded research, publications, or teaching awards. 
Essential Functions

We expect that this person’s research and teaching will contribute to the Sociology Department and participate in and initiate collaborations across the Schools, Colleges, and Centers at Drexel. Teaching duties include developing and teaching courses in environmental sociology as well as core courses in the Sociology major.

This position will focus on environmental sociology to complement the strengths of current faculty and will contribute to positioning Drexel as a high profile sociology program with a strong research and educational identity.

Investigate topics such as the global political economy of land use and environmental degradation; consumption; food systems, energy transitions, waste disposal issues, and environmental action; the material flow and circulation of natural resources, food, energy, waste, and environmental disasters and risk; theorizing socio-natures.

Participate in and initiate collaborations across the Schools, Colleges, and Centers at Drexel. Successful candidates will develop and teach courses in environmental sociology as well as core courses in the Sociology major.

Supplemental Posting Information

All applications must be submitted online at www.drexeljobs.com. The successful applicant must have completed all requirements for their Ph.D. by August 15, 2019.

Interested candidates may direct questions to Dr. Susan Bell seb376@drexel.edu. Review of applications will begin November 10th, 2018 and continue until filled.

The successful applicant would begin September 1, 2019. Complete applications will include: 1) a cover letter with a statement of preparation for and interest in the position; 2) curriculum vitae with complete professional and academic history; 3) up to three samples of scholarly writing; and 4) the names, institutional affiliation, and email addresses only of at least three references.

Please do not submit reference letters at this time as such letters will be requested at a later date for short-listed applicants.

Drexel University offers an attractive benefits package including tuition remission, a generous retirement package with matching funds (up to 11%) and an opportunity to join a talented team of professionals directly helping the University achieve its record growth and quality reputation.

Background investigations are required for all new hires as a condition of employment, after the job offer is made. Employment will be contingent upon the University’s acceptance of the results of the background investigation.